OMB Individually Reported

Operational Water Supply Forecasting for Western US Rivers

Low riskExact public inventory row

Description

Improved predictions of seasonal water supply forecasts to support irrigated agriculture planning.

Detailed example

The model outputs water supply forecasts.

AI / analytics pattern

Classical/Predictive Machine Learning: Models trained on data to make predictions or classifications based on identified patterns or relationships.

Automation level / stage

c) Deployed – The use case is being actively authorized or utilized to support the functions or mission of an agency.

Expected benefit

The National Water and Climate Center has a multi-model machine-learning metasystem (M4) for generating water supply forecasts. This model uses AI and other data-science technologies to reduce forecast errors, helping stakeholders make better decisions about water supply availability.

Controls / human review

ATO: No; PIA: Not published

Data needed

The data contains snow and precipitation metrics from the Natural Resources Conservation Service (NRCS) Snow Survey and Water Supply Forecast program Snow Telemetry (SNOTEL) monitoring network.