OMB Individually Reported

Seasonal Water Supply Forecasting: Pyforecast [2024 INV#DOI-69]

Low riskExact public inventory row

Description

Reclamation utilizes water supply forecasts (cumulative expected inflow over multiple months) to inform reservoir operations and water allocation decisions.

Detailed example

Pyforecast tool is available to Reclamation reservoir operators, allowing them to produce in-house forecasts between forecasts issued by other agencies and to explore forecast sensitivity to different scenarios.

AI / analytics pattern

Classical/Predictive Machine Learning: Models trained on data to make predictions or classifications based on identified patterns or relationships.

Automation level / stage

b) Pilot – The use case has been deployed in a limited test or pilot capacity.

Expected benefit

More skillful forecasts and internal forecasting tools support improved reservoir operations.

Controls / human review

ATO: No; PIA: Not published

Data needed

Uses a variety of public data